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Goal Probability Calculator

This screen can be used to calculate the probability that you will reach a goal within a specified number of hands without losing your entire bankroll. There are five variables defined as follows:

  • Goal in units: This is the number of units that you wish to finish with including the bankroll that you started with.
  • Bankroll in units: The number of units that you start with.
  • Win rate per 100 hands: The units that you win over 100 hands. You can get this number from a simulator, or look it up in Don Schlesinger's Blackjack Attack.
  • Standard Deviation per 100 hands: You can get this number from a simulator, or look it up in Don Schlesinger's Blackjack Attack.
  • Hands: Total number of hands played.

The result of this calculation is the likelihood that you will reach the specified goal at any time in the number of hands played before losing your entire bankroll.

Goal in units
Bankroll in units
Win rate per 100 hands
Std. Dev. per 100 hands
Hands

 

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