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How about by dealer hands by true count?

This chart displays the dealer final hands by true counts -6 through +12. Busts are at the top in cyan. What this chart tells us is that the dealer bust rate is actually lower when the count is high. That is, a high dealer bust rate is more likely to indicate a good table than a bad table as thought by followers of some voodoo strategies. The reason can be seen by the orange line. The dealer receives substantially more tens since there are more tens in the deck in high-count situations. Fortunately, the player also receives more good hands, more Blackjacks, and makes more on insurance, doubles, and splits. On balance, the player fares much better at high counts even with a lower dealer bust rate.

Dealer bust rate is one of the most common reasons that average players leave Blackjack tables, and yet this observation probably hurts them.

Of course, at high counts, the dealer busts more with stiff upcards (2-6), but these cards appear much less frequently at high counts.




          Six decks, S17, DAS, 1, 3 & 6 players, Hi-Lo, truncate, Sweet 16 indexes, half-deck resolution, 5/6 penetration, Spread $10-$150

          Ten billion rounds each


 © 2009 Norman Wattenberger

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© 2009 Norman Wattenberger